FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (AP) 鈥� Democrats have long focused on immigration when courting Latino voters in states like Arizona, Nevada, New Jersey, and Florida, where generations of Mexican, Cuban and other Latin American immigrants have settled and gained permanent legal status.
But in the 2024 presidential election and have some liberals reconsidering traditional wisdom.
鈥淧eople do care about it, but they don鈥檛 vote on it. They vote on the economy,鈥� said Patricia Campos-Medina, a labor activist who ran for the U.S. Senate last year in New Jersey and is now advising U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill, one of the Democrats running for governor in next month鈥檚 primary.
Liberal strategists, organizers and some politicians are urging Democrats to focus on the economy in this year's elections rather than on immigration. Some argue a broad economic message would be more effective with the wide range of nationalities and experiences in the Latino community rather than customized efforts based on perceived cultural or political interests.
Last year, Trump, a Republican, in heavily Puerto Rican areas of eastern Pennsylvania and turned South Texas鈥� Rio Grande Valley while improving his numbers along Florida鈥檚 Interstate 4 corridor. His message to Latinos focused heavily on the economy and border security.
鈥淟atino operatives have been saying, 鈥楧on鈥檛 treat us all as a monolith,鈥欌�� said Tory Gavito, who co-founded Way to Win, a progressive group formed after Trump鈥檚 2016 win that recently conducted focus groups with Latinos who skipped the 2024 election. 鈥淭hey were pretty monolithic.鈥�
Economic concerns topped everything else
Inflation was top of mind for nearly half of Latinos who voted last fall, according to , a wide-ranging survey of the 2024 electorate. About three-quarters of Latino Trump voters were very concerned about housing costs in their community, compared with about 6 in 10 white Trump voters.
鈥淲here we fell short was failing to fully appreciate the bread-and-butter economic issues that were driving them,鈥� said Tom Perez, a former Democratic National Committee chair who advised President . He is now co-chair of the American Bridge 21st Century, a group that does opposition research on Republicans. 鈥淢any folks felt like we were too focused on identity politics and not focused enough on the cost of eggs, the cost of gas, the cost of living.鈥�
Alex Berrios, co-founder of the organizing group Mi Vecino, which mobilizes Latino voters in Florida, Arizona and Maine, said Democrats focused too much on using buzzwords and trying to micro-target specific nationalities. The result, he argues, left voters feeling as though the party's message was staged.
鈥淚t鈥檚 like they were saying, 鈥楲et me get my Venezuelan script out,鈥欌�� Berrios said. 鈥淣o. The first thing is just be relatable.鈥�
Chuck Rocha is a Democratic strategist who mobilized Latinos for presidential bid in 2020 and for last year and started a super political action committee, or PAC, to reach out to Latinos in key races. He argued that Democrats 鈥渕ess up by bringing a policy book to a boxing match.鈥�
鈥淚t鈥檚 about three things: affordability, affordability, affordability,鈥� he said. 鈥淎ffordability is the only thing that they care about because that鈥檚 what鈥檚 hitting them in the face every day.鈥�
New Jersey becomes an early test
New Jersey's primary for governor is an early test of the different Democratic points of view. Last year, Trump flipped two Hispanic-majority towns that he had lost by more than 30 and 50 percentage points in 2016. Democrat won a traditionally blue state by just 6 percentage points, the closest presidential contest there since 2004.
Sherrill, who flipped a longtime Republican district in winning her House seat in 2018, has focused on her biography and her military service while also arguing she will stand up to Trump and billionaire adviser Elon Musk. One of her ads promises she will 鈥渄rive down costs from health care to housing.鈥�
Her campaign manager, Alex Ball, outlined during the weekend in a memo that one of its goals is meeting in person Hispanic voters from two suburban counties who have voted in three of the four past Democratic primaries.
鈥淭here is a real risk of a Republican winning in November, but Mikie is the candidate who can win just like she has won tough elections before, even driving out a long-time Republican incumbent in a Trump district 鈥� something no one thought was possible,鈥� Ball wrote.
Meanwhile, Newark Mayor Ras Baraka has frequently campaigned against U.S. immigration authorities' plans to open a detention facility in his city. The mayor was on Friday while demonstrating outside, with video of his detention and release spreading widely and leading to his competitors in the Democratic primary rallying to his side.
Democrats see an opening
A May AP-NORC poll found that 38% of Hispanic adults approve of Trump鈥檚 handling of the economy, which is roughly in line with U.S. adults overall.
But there鈥檚 growing unease as Trump鈥檚 plans to revive manufacturing and reshape the global economy have been rolled out with constant changes, creating uncertainty and sparking concerns of prices rising and products disappearing from shelves. From January through March, the economy shrank for the first time in three years as businesses were disrupted by . Trump fired thousands of federal workers, with impacts felt outside of Washington.
The Libre Initiative, a Koch Network-affiliated conservative group, is running ads targeting Latinos in support of approved during Trump鈥檚 first term that may expire at year鈥檚 end.
Daniel Garza, president of the group, acknowledged 鈥渘ervousness鈥� among Latino voters, with some wondering if maybe Trump took on too much and too fast. But Garza said that it鈥檚 too soon to make a fair assessment of his second term, which began in January.
He argues voters should wait and see how Trump negotiates trade and whether the Republican Party can pass with both tax breaks and spending cuts and promises he made such as exempting tips, overtime and Social Security from taxation.
鈥淢y sense is that Latinos are a very patient lot,鈥� he said. 鈥淎guantamos mucho."
That is Spanish for 鈥淲e put up with a lot.鈥�
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Associated Press Polling Editor Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux in Washington contributed to this report.
Adriana Gomez Licon, The Associated Press
